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Locally stationary Hawkes processes

François Roueff #1, Rainer von Sachs #2, Laure Sansonnet #3
#1 Laboratoire Traitement et Communication de l'Information [Paris] (LTCI)
  • Télécom ParisTech
  • CNRS : UMR5141
#2 Institut de Statistique, Biostatistique et Sciences Actuarielles (ISBA)
  • Université Catholique de Louvain
#3 Mathématiques et Informatique Appliquées (MIA-Paris)
  • Institut national de la recherche agronomique (INRA)
  • AgroParisTech
References
Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2016, vol. 126, n° 6, pp. 1710 - 1743
Abstract

This paper addresses the generalization of stationary Hawkes processes in order to allow for a time-evolving second-order analysis. Motivated by the concept of locally stationary autoregressive processes, we apply however inherently different techniques to describe the time-varying dynamics of self-exciting point processes. In particular we derive a stationary approximation of the Laplace functional of a locally stationary Hawkes process. This allows us to define a local mean density function and a local Bartlett spectrum which can be used to compute approximations of first and second order moments of the process. We complete the paper by some insightful simulation studies.

Keywords
Locally stationary processes, Hawkes processes, Bartlett spectrum, Time–frequency analysis, Point processes
Category
Article in peer reviewed Journal
Research Area(s)
Mathematics/Statistics
Identifier(s)
DOI 10.1016/j.spa.2015.12.003
HAL ref. hal-01153882
Bibliographic key roueff-vonsachs-sansonnet2016
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Last update
on september 02, 2016


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